Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds losses below $33.00 as safe-haven demand weakens

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds losses below $33.00 as safe-haven demand weakens

  • Silver’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset has waned as global trade tensions show signs of abating.
  • The United States is reportedly reducing tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, while China is decreasing its corresponding tariffs from 125% to 10%.
  • Market participants are moderating expectations for substantial interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, placing additional downward pressure on the demand for Silver.

The Silver price (XAG/USD) is currently experiencing a pause in its recent upward momentum, trading near $32.80 per troy ounce during Wednesday’s European trading session. The precious metal’s traditional role as a safe-haven investment has diminished somewhat, primarily due to the easing of concerns surrounding global trade disputes. This shift in investor sentiment is contributing to the current price action.

Recent reports suggest that the United States and China have achieved a tentative agreement aimed at significantly reducing existing tariffs. According to the proposed framework, the US is expected to lower tariffs imposed on Chinese goods from a level of 145% to a more manageable 30%. Simultaneously, China is poised to reduce its own tariffs on imports from the US, bringing them down from 125% to a substantially lower 10%. This development is being interpreted by many analysts as a constructive move towards de-escalating the trade friction that has characterized relations between the world’s two largest economies. The anticipated reduction in trade barriers is fostering a more optimistic outlook among investors, reducing the need for safe-haven assets like silver.

Adding to the positive market sentiment, US President Donald Trump conveyed to Fox News that the United States is actively pursuing expanded market access within China. He characterized the current state of US-China relations as “excellent,” further bolstering confidence in a potential resolution to the trade impasse. Mr. Trump also indicated a willingness to engage in direct discussions with President Xi Jinping, with the objective of achieving a more comprehensive and enduring trade agreement. These comments suggest a proactive approach to resolving trade-related issues and fostering a more stable economic environment, which in turn reduces the appeal of safe-haven assets. Furthermore, recent economic data releases, including stronger-than-expected US inflation figures, have led investors to reassess their expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve in the near term. This recalibration of expectations is also contributing to the downward pressure on silver prices, as lower interest rates typically make precious metals more attractive to investors. The market will be closely watching upcoming Fed meetings and economic data releases for further clues about the future direction of monetary policy and its potential impact on silver.

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