Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts lower to near $3,310 ahead of key US data releases 

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts lower to near $3,310 ahead of key US data releases  “`html

  • Gold price declines to $3,315 in Wednesday’s early Asian session. 
  • Easing trade tensions weighs on the Gold price. 
  • The US ADP Employment Change, PCE and the flash Q1 GDP reports will be the highlights later on Wednesday. 

The Gold price (XAU/USD) continued its downward trajectory, reaching levels near $3,315 during the early Asian trading session on Wednesday. The precious metal experienced a slight decrease in value, primarily influenced by a perceived reduction in global trade tensions and a corresponding improvement in risk appetite across international markets. Market participants are keenly awaiting the release of key economic data from the United States, including the ADP Employment Change, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, and the preliminary estimates for first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP), all scheduled for release later today. These figures are expected to provide further insights into the health of the US economy and potentially influence the direction of gold prices.

Recent developments suggest a potential softening of the US stance on automotive tariffs. Reports indicate that US President Donald Trump is considering measures to mitigate the impact of these tariffs by preventing the accumulation of duties on foreign-made vehicles and easing levies on imported components used in car manufacturing. This move signals a possible shift towards a more conciliatory approach to trade. Furthermore, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Monday that significant trade partners have presented “very good” proposals aimed at averting US tariffs, suggesting progress in ongoing trade negotiations. The exemption of specific US goods from retaliatory tariffs further reinforces the notion of a willingness to de-escalate trade-related conflicts.

The perceived reduction in trade tensions has diminished the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, leading to a decrease in demand. “The easing came amid the US opening tariff talks with multiple nations and growing expectations of a possible China-US trade agreement according to US President Donald Trump. Additionally, optimism around a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal further weighed on safe-haven demand for gold,” said Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities. This sentiment reflects the broader market view that progress in resolving trade disputes and geopolitical uncertainties reduces the need for investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Investors are now closely monitoring geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators for further cues on the future direction of gold prices. The upcoming US economic data releases will be crucial in shaping market expectations and influencing investment decisions regarding gold.

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